·
·28 markets trackedSignals, with the reasoning attached.
A signals dashboard for prediction markets. Every signal ships with a fair-value estimate, the edge versus market price, and the written brief behind the call — no black box.
Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps in September?
Why ↳ CME FedWatch implies a near-certain 25bps cut. Core CPI cooled faster than consensus. FOMC minutes show a dovish shift — market is anchored on stale data.
How it works
From market scan to your dashboard in minutes.
We scan the market
Live odds across Polymarket & Kalshi, refreshed continuously.
Our model sets a fair value
Measures the edge versus market price and assigns a confidence score.
You get the call + the written brief
Directional signal with clear reasoning — no black box.
What we specialize in
Directional calls, with the reasoning attached.
Most signals products give you a number and ask you to trust them. Tally gives you the call, the model's fair value, the edge versus market price, and a written brief showing the evidence that produced it.
Cross-venue signal engine
Live coverage across Polymarket and Kalshi. Every market gets a fair-value estimate, a confidence score, and a clear directional signal.
Reasoning, not black boxes
Each signal ships with a written brief and supporting evidence — base rates, news flow, on-chain signals, order flow — so you understand the why.
Daily Telegram drop
Our top 5 signals of the day post automatically to our public Telegram channel. Free users get the same drop in-app.
Built for speed
Sleek dashboard, dense data, no junk. Filter by venue, category, and edge.
Honest HOLD calls
When the market is fairly priced, we say so. No fake-confidence prompts to trade.
Your data, locked down
Auth + row-level security. Your activity and watchlist are visible only to you.
See it in action
Your whole edge, on one screen.
Scan every market across Polymarket and Kalshi with the model's fair value, the edge versus market price, and the written brief — all in a single dense view.
Anatomy of a signal
Every part of the call, explained.
Reasoning, not black boxes. Here's exactly what ships with every signal.
Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps in September?
Why ↳ CME FedWatch implies a near-certain 25bps cut. Core CPI cooled faster than consensus. FOMC minutes show a dovish shift — market is anchored on stale data.
- 01Directional call
BUY, SELL, or HOLD — color-coded so you can scan a grid in seconds.
- 02Market price
The live odds the market is currently quoting on Polymarket or Kalshi.
- 03Model fair value
What our model thinks the true probability is, given the evidence.
- 04Edge vs market
The gap between fair value and market price. Bigger edge, bigger opportunity.
- 05Confidence score
How sure the model is. Low confidence + small edge = an honest HOLD.
- 06Written brief
A plain-English summary of the evidence behind the call. No black box.
From our users
Trusted by sharp traders and analysts.
“Tally is the first product I've found that actually shows the reasoning. The brief next to every signal saves me an hour of my own digging.”
“I've been on Polymarket since 2022. Tally's edge calls have been right more often than my own — and I trust them because the why is right there.”
“The Telegram drop every morning is genuinely the only finance feed I keep notifications on for. Five clean signals, no noise.”
“What I like most is the discipline. HOLD signals are honest. Most products would never tell you to do nothing.”
“Pro tier paid for itself in the first week. The unlimited unlocks let me actually scan every category before the day starts.”
“Smart UI, sharp writing, no hype. Tally feels like Bloomberg for prediction markets.”
Pricing
Start free. Upgrade when you want every signal.
Free
- 5 signals unlocked every 24 hours
- Full reasoning on every unlocked signal
- Daily Telegram channel access
- Polymarket & Kalshi coverage
Pro
- Unlimited daily signals
- Every market, every venue, no caps
- Priority new-market coverage
- Email + Telegram alerts on confidence upgrades
- Cancel anytime
Payments powered by Stripe · Cancel anytime · No hidden fees
FAQ
Questions, answered.
Start reading the market better.
Join thousands of traders using Tally to find edge in prediction markets.